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"tag:forecast"


Title and summary Date/time
1
Dow Signals Holding after Friday
After the Dow's drop of 1.69% on Friday, signals have weakened slightly compared to last simulation. Although, dramatically stronger than previous simulations, where the mean was the low 50% - 60%. Above 70% is usually a healthy causation of an uptrend. ...
Nov 11, 2007
9:07:00 PM
2
Dow Two Month Price Patterns Showing Weakness
Did today's big move in the Dow precast a bullish trend ahead? According to similar historical chart patterns, not within the next couple of months. Although, the third month is an entirely different story. The third month chart pattern has ...
Aug 7, 2007
12:54:00 AM
3
Dow Chart Patterns Update
For the next 2 months, the Dow's most recent charts patterns have no historically similar chart patterns with consistent up-trends -- a chaotic 53% probability of an uptrend. The 3 month chart patterns are demonstrating some strength at 72%, and ...
Aug 2, 2007
2:07:00 AM
4
Weak Dow Chart Patterns
Is the Dow showing signs of breakdown or learning the dynamics of record breaking terrain? Several days after the initial positive Dow forecast here, signs of trending have disappeared, which may negatively impact the index for up to 3 months. ...
Jul 19, 2007
1:33:00 AM
5
Gold Forecast
Gold is hot again. A couple of significant signals were discovered along with the initial bullish signal posted here on June 9th, 2007. The two and three month forecasts are lustrous, that is, the similar price charts in the past has been fairly ...
Jul 13, 2007
10:05:00 AM
6
Cyclones and Oil
Cyclones could drive the price of oil to $80 a barrel according to a senior Iranian oil official. "Based on forecasts, within the next three months ... the increase in gasoline consumption, seasonal storms and problems in Nigeria's oil supply will ...
Jun 11, 2007
12:12:00 AM
7
Gold from Ipanema
thestreet.com reminded us about the perils of gold, the headlines flashed in the course of the day on Friday , June 8th 2007: gold-tumbles-dollar-...
Jun 9, 2007
2:37:00 PM
8
S&P 500 and Dow Forecast
Update 2008 Index Forecast Range Price Probability DOW June 61% probability up 1.79% DOW June - July ...
Jun 5, 2007
2:07:00 AM
9
DJ US Real Estate Index Paradox
Bigpicture had fun with housing charts, and I had to join in specifically for the DJ US Real Estate Index (IYR) chart outlining a head and shoulders pattern from Mike Panzner. A motivator was determining whether signals from TA would align with ...
May 18, 2007
1:56:00 AM
10
They Say Recession Is Near
This month's projections are encouraging, that is, 84.62% of the most similar charts for 4/27/2007 to 5/27/2007 are trending up for the Dow. Likewise, 61.54% for the S&P 500, 64.29% for the Russel 2000, and 100% for the Nasdaq Composite -- ...
Apr 30, 2007
12:13:24 AM
11
Causality Crisis
Bank of America's Correlation Crisis captivated my attention, perhaps it's the crisis in the title. Whatever the reason, the question ``We see increasing risk signals that remind us of the run- up to the 2005 correlation meltdown,'' the analysts wrote ...
Apr 1, 2007
2:13:00 PM
12
Does The Stock Market Have A Bloody Nose?
From monitoring the market's vital signs as of this morning, the performance projections have suddenly and quietly changed for the worst. The one month chart projections for the Dow (38%) and S&P 500 (46%) are weak to say the least; thats not the ...
Mar 13, 2007
2:38:00 AM
13
Earning Reports For ANN, BSC, GS, LEH, and NT
Earnings reports may cast the following sentiment below. Performance simulations from 3/9/2007 to 4/9/2007 are projecting a rewarding month for Bear Stearns (69%) and Lehman Brothers (69%). Unfortunately, Ann Taylor (53%), Goldman Sachs (30%), and ...
Mar 11, 2007
4:13:00 AM
14
Chart Patterns In The Hysteria
One month forecast for S&P 500 from 3/1/2007 to 4/1/2007 -- 86% uptrend, probability based on historical chart patterns. Update: To put this in context, this was written around the 200 point drop today.
Mar 1, 2007
9:50:00 AM
15
S&P Performance for 2007
As a reminder, the signals are still bullish, and have been since October. The financial markets are poised for new grounds.
Jan 5, 2007
3:02:58 PM